GGOALVIO

Riopretano logoRiopretanovsTupa logoTupa

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Brazil · Paulista Série B · 6/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tupa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Riopretano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tupa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tupa hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Paulista Série B, while Tupa holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tupa

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

14.7%

Tupa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiopretanoDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
TupaLDLWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RiopretanoTupa
30.0Attack38.9
46.7Defence44.4
23.3Form36.1
36.5Power41.6
1.05xG1.16
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