GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Assisense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Riopretano are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 0.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Assisense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Assisense hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Paulista Série B, while Assisense holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Assisense

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

13.8%

Assisense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiopretanoLLDL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.25/1.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
AssisenseDWWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RiopretanoAssisense
30.0Attack47.2
46.7Defence55.6
23.3Form41.7
36.5Power50.6
0.82xG1.44
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