Rionegro AguilasvsAtletico Nacional

Rionegro Aguilas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Nacional are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.