Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rio Verde · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rio Verde 1-2 Morrinhos
Original prediction
Rio Verde
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Rio Verde
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Rio Verde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rio VerdeWWDWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MorrinhosWLDWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rio VerdeMorrinhos
72.2Attack55.6
88.9Defence61.1
88.9Form55.6
83.4Power58.9
1.71xG0.82