Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rio Verde · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rio Verde are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Morrinhos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and rio Verde hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Goiano - 2, favouring Rio Verde with 13.4% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rio Verde
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
13.4%
Rio Verde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40