GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca B2 · 10/14/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

7 de Abril · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Rio São Paulo are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while 7 de Abril are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and 7 de Abril hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (22.2 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Carioca B2, while 7 de Abril holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

7 de Abril

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

7 de Abril has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rio São PauloLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
7 de AbrilWLLLL

GF 8 · GA 20 · avg 1.60/4.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Rio São Paulo7 de Abril
29.6Attack36.4
0.0Defence60.6
22.2Form30.3
22.2Power42.1
0.76xG1.57
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