Rio Branco ESvs
Tombense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Rio Branco ES are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tombense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tombense hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20