GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Rio Branco ES are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tombense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tombense hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rio Branco ESDWWDL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TombenseDLDWW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Rio Branco ESTombense
44.4Attack36.1
55.6Defence80.6
38.9Form50.0
47.2Power56.8
0.67xG0.90
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