GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rio Branco ES are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Democrata GV are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Democrata GV hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rio Branco ESLDDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Democrata GVWLDDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Rio Branco ESDemocrata GV
44.4Attack41.7
55.6Defence63.9
38.9Form50.0
47.2Power53.6
1.01xG1.03
View match centre →