GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 3/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Rio Branco ES are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Athletic Club are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

14.2%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rio Branco ESDDLWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Athletic ClubWDWLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rio Branco ESAthletic Club
33.3Attack60.0
66.7Defence53.3
33.3Form46.7
45.3Power54.3
1.22xG1.26
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