Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porto W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rio Ave W 1-1 Porto W
Original prediction
Porto W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 12:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Porto W
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Porto W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rio Ave WLLLDL
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Porto WDDW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.33/0.67
BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Rio Ave WPorto W
0.0Attack44.4
33.3Defence77.8
0.0Form55.6
16.7Power60.9
1.03xG1.63