Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Thursday, 23 July 202613:00Updated today
Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Home
W
vs
13:00
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Away
LL
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Guimaraes33%
Rio Ave33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Rio Ave
33%
Draw
33%
Guimaraes
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Rio Ave
94
Guimaraes
9
Defence
Rio Ave
91
Guimaraes
46
Momentum
Rio Ave
100
Guimaraes
0
Danger (xG)
Rio Ave
2.70
Guimaraes
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Rio Ave)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Guimaraes)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Rio Ave)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Guimaraes)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Rio AveRio Ave
WDL
GuimaraesGuimaraes
LL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Rio Ave33%
Draw33%
Guimaraes33%

Guimaraes leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Rio Ave head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Guimaraes arrive in mixed form (LL). Rio Ave have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Guimaraes over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Rio Ave's elite attack (94/100) faces a average Guimaraes defence (46/100), while Guimaraes's attack is up against a watertight Rio Ave backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Rio Ave's favour.

Rio Ave have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per home match. Guimaraes have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Rio Ave and Guimaraes in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Rio Ave 3333%, Draw 3333%, Guimaraes 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

W
@ Portimonense
15 Jul 2026
30
D
@ Casa Pia
16 May 2026
11
L
vs Sporting CP
11 May 2026
14
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

L
@ Nacional
16 May 2026
02
L
vs Casa Pia
11 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Rio Ave vs Guimaraes?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Rio Ave vs Guimaraes?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Rio Ave vs Guimaraes?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rio Ave vs Guimaraes?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more