Portugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rio Ave U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.6% | 36.7% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 28.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.4% | 34.4% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Rio Ave U23
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Rio Ave U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rio Ave U23WDDWD
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting CP U23WLDDW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rio Ave U23Sporting CP U23
66.7Attack50.0
100.0Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power83.3
1.46xG1.24