Rio Ave U23vs
Portimonense U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rio Ave U23 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rio Ave U23 4-0 Portimonense U23
Original prediction
Rio Ave U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.3% | 47.8% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.7% | 26.4% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.75 | 19.0% | 25.7% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Rio Ave U23
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Rio Ave U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20