GGOALVIO

Portugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 8/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Penafiel U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Rio Ave U23 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Penafiel U23 are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Penafiel U23 hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (40.4 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Liga Revelação U23, while Penafiel U23 holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Penafiel U23

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

12.7%

Penafiel U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rio Ave U23LWLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Penafiel U23D

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Rio Ave U23Penafiel U23
42.9Attack50.0
42.9Defence50.0
29.8Form50.0
40.4Power50.0
1.31xG1.59
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