Rio Ave U19vs
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rio Ave U19 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Original prediction
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.0% | 31.7% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.3% | 29.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 36.7% | 39.3% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20