Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ringsted · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ringsted are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sundby are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ringsted hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the 3. Division, while Ringsted holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ringsted
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
11.4%
Ringsted has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60