Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sundby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ringsted 2-0 Sundby
Original prediction
Sundby
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.3% | 35.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.6% | 24.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.1% | 39.9% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sundby
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Sundby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RingstedLLLLD
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SundbyWDLLW
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
RingstedSundby
25.0Attack58.3
16.7Defence8.3
8.3Form8.3
20.8Power28.6
1.65xG1.88