Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Næsby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ringsted 1-2 Næsby
Original prediction
Næsby
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.35 | 20.8% | 21.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.38 | 20.6% | 19.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.6% | 59.7% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Næsby
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
Næsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RingstedLLLWL
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NæsbyDLLWL
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RingstedNæsby
41.7Attack58.3
4.2Defence45.8
16.7Form45.8
24.5Power50.6
1.40xG2.58