Ringstedvs
Hørsholm-Usserød
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hørsholm-Usserød · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ringsted 2-4 Hørsholm-Usserød
Original prediction
Hørsholm-Usserød
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.3% | 24.3% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.6% | 20.2% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 42.1% | 55.5% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–37%
Predicted outcome
Hørsholm-Usserød
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Hørsholm-Usserød has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20