Rilski Sportistvs
Sportist Svoge
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rilski Sportist 0-0 Sportist Svoge, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rilski Sportist 2-1 Sportist Svoge
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.8% | 38.1% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.8% | 32.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.30 | 21.4% | 29.1% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
Rilski Sportist 0–0 Sportist Svoge
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.8%
Model confidence
38.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rilski SportistDWDDL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sportist SvogeDLLWD
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Rilski SportistSportist Svoge
27.8Attack16.7
66.7Defence77.8
33.3Form33.3
45.6Power45.6
0.72xG0.68