Rilski Sportistvs
Pirin Blagoevgrad
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rilski Sportist · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Rilski Sportist 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rilski Sportist 1-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Original prediction
Rilski Sportist
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 78.9% | 74.2% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.18 | 14.5% | 16.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 13.63 | 6.6% | 9.3% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Projected Score
Rilski Sportist 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Rilski Sportist
Probability
74.2%
Model confidence
74.2%
Rilski Sportist has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60