Rilski Sportistvs
Dunav Ruse
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Cup · 10/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rilski Sportist · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rilski Sportist 2-3 Dunav Ruse
Original prediction
Rilski Sportist
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.77 | 24.0% | 40.7% | 16.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 26.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.2% | 33.1% | -16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Rilski Sportist
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Rilski Sportist has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60