GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rijnsburgse Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rijnsburgse Boys 1-0 ROHDA Raalte

Original prediction

Rijnsburgse Boys

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2174.8%70.5%-4.3 pts
Draw6.5113.9%14.6%0.7 pts
Away7.9611.3%15.0%3.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–18%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.4–17%

Predicted outcome

Rijnsburgse Boys

Probability

70.5%

Model confidence

70.5%

Rijnsburgse Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rijnsburgse BoysLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ROHDA RaalteLLDWL

GF 12 · GA 19 · avg 2.40/3.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rijnsburgse BoysROHDA Raalte
59.3Attack33.3
3.7Defence0.0
37.0Form3.7
34.6Power16.1
3.35xG1.51
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