Rijnsburgse Boysvs
AFC Amsterdam
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/5/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Amsterdam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rijnsburgse Boys 3-0 AFC Amsterdam
Original prediction
AFC Amsterdam
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.9% | 34.1% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.4% | 24.1% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.7% | 41.8% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
AFC Amsterdam
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
AFC Amsterdam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60