Rigavs
Ogre United
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 4/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Riga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ogre United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 58.6-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 24.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.6% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga
Probability
94.4%
Model confidence
17.6%
Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40