Rigavs
KI Klaksvik
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Riga 2-1 KI Klaksvik
Original prediction
Riga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 66.3% | 52.6% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 20.0% | 24.8% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 6.74 | 13.7% | 22.6% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Riga
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RigaDDWDW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KI KlaksvikDDWLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RigaKI Klaksvik
66.7Attack0.0
66.7Defence100.0
73.3Form33.3
70.5Power45.3
1.88xG0.97