Rigavs
FS Jelgava
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 5/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Riga are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FS Jelgava are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 46.5-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga
Probability
89.5%
Model confidence
16.3%
Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60