Rigavs
FS Jelgava
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 3/12/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Riga are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FS Jelgava are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 46.5-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.6% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga
Probability
88.6%
Model confidence
88.6%
Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40