Rigavs
FK Liepaja
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 6/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Riga are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FK Liepaja are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga
Probability
81.9%
Model confidence
13.5%
Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20