Rigavs
BFC Daugavpils
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 3/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Riga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while BFC Daugavpils are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.9% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
72.9%
Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80