Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Riga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Auda are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40