GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 4/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riga Mariners · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Riga Mariners are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Riga FC II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga Mariners hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (71.5 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the 1. Liga, while Riga Mariners holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riga Mariners

Probability

81.1%

Model confidence

11.4%

Riga Mariners has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riga MarinersWDWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Riga FC IIWLLWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Riga MarinersRiga FC II
70.8Attack47.9
68.8Defence37.5
72.9Form41.7
71.5Power44.2
3.15xG0.78
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