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Saturday, 11 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Riga Mariners

Riga Mariners

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BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

Away
GoalVio prediction
64% confidence
Riga Mariners(45%)
Most likely exact score3-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Riga Mariners
45%
Draw
35%
BFC Daugavpils
20%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
Yes

Probability breakdown

64% confidence
Riga Mariners45%
Draw35%
BFC Daugavpils20%

Riga Mariners leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Riga Mariners head into this in Cup fixture in unknown form, while BFC Daugavpils arrive in unknown form.

Riga Mariners have limited home data in the engine at this stage. BFC Daugavpils have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Riga Mariners and BFC Daugavpils in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Riga Mariners to win with 64% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 3-0. Win probabilities: Riga Mariners 4469%, Draw 3500%, BFC Daugavpils 2031%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Riga Mariners vs BFC Daugavpils?

GoalVio's model predicts Riga Mariners to win with 64% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Riga Mariners vs BFC Daugavpils?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 3-0.

Will both teams score in Riga Mariners vs BFC Daugavpils?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Riga Mariners vs BFC Daugavpils?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more