GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 3/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valmiera / BSS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Riga FC II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Valmiera / BSS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Valmiera / BSS hold a 37.4-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 81.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.0% in the 1. Liga, while Valmiera / BSS holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valmiera / BSS

Probability

81.0%

Model confidence

81.0%

Valmiera / BSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riga FC IIWLWDW

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Valmiera / BSSLWLLW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Riga FC IIValmiera / BSS
47.9Attack91.7
37.5Defence70.8
41.7Form85.4
44.2Power81.6
0.82xG3.39
View match centre →