1. Liga1. Liga
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Riga FC II

Riga FC II

Home
21
Full time
Super Nova 2

Super Nova 2

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
Riga FC II(49%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Riga FC II
49%
Draw
26%
Super Nova 2
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Super Nova 2)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Super Nova 2)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Super Nova 2Super Nova 2
DWW

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Riga FC II49%
Draw26%
Super Nova 226%

Riga FC II leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Riga FC II head into this in 1. Liga fixture in unknown form, while Super Nova 2 arrive in mixed form (D).

Riga FC II have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Super Nova 2 have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Riga FC II and Super Nova 2 in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Riga FC II to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Riga FC II 4860%, Draw 2555%, Super Nova 2 2585%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Super Nova 2

Super Nova 2

D
@ Rīgas FS II
5 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Tukums II
27 Jun 2026
31
W
@ Smiltene
13 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Riga FC II vs Super Nova 2?

GoalVio's model predicts Riga FC II to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Riga FC II vs Super Nova 2?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Riga FC II vs Super Nova 2?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Riga FC II vs Super Nova 2?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more