GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 5/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mārupe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Riga FC II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mārupe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mārupe hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the 1. Liga, while Mārupe holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mārupe

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Mārupe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riga FC IILLWDW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MārupeWWLLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Riga FC IIMārupe
47.9Attack54.2
37.5Defence47.9
41.7Form45.8
44.2Power49.1
1.62xG1.92
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