Riga FC IIvs
Mārupe
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 5/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mārupe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Riga FC II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mārupe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mārupe hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the 1. Liga, while Mārupe holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mārupe
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Mārupe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20