GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 4/22/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riga FC II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Riga FC II are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while JFK Ventspils are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga FC II hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 36.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the 1. Liga, while Riga FC II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riga FC II

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

Riga FC II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riga FC IIWWD

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
JFK VentspilsLW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Riga FC IIJFK Ventspils
47.9Attack37.5
37.5Defence41.7
41.7Form22.9
44.2Power36.3
1.89xG1.27
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