Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ried · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Ried are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while WSPG Wels are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ried hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (75.2 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ried holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ried
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Ried has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00