Riedvs
Wolfsberger AC
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 9/20/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ried · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ried 4-1 Wolfsberger AC
Original prediction
Ried
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 47.3% | 41.6% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.4% | 26.4% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 26.4% | 32.0% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Ried
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Ried has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RiedDWLWL
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Wolfsberger ACLDLDL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RiedWolfsberger AC
38.9Attack33.3
38.9Defence50.0
27.8Form27.8
38.1Power38.2
1.35xG1.20