GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ried · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 5-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ried 3-3 SKU Amstetten

Original prediction

Ried

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6754.5%57.6%3.1 pts
Draw4.1921.7%21.3%-0.4 pts
Away3.8323.8%21.1%-2.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.4–110%
  2. 2.5–19%
  3. 3.3–19%

Predicted outcome

Ried

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

Ried has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiedWDWLW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SKU AmstettenWWLDD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RiedSKU Amstetten
87.2Attack74.4
66.7Defence20.5
76.9Form46.2
75.2Power47.8
4.50xG1.29
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