GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ried · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Ried are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Rot-weiss Essen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ried hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (75.2 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ried holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ried

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

54.8%

Ried has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiedDLDLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rot-weiss EssenWWLWW

GF 20 · GA 5 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RiedRot-weiss Essen
87.2Attack95.8
66.7Defence41.7
76.9Form58.3
75.2Power63.4
3.43xG1.46
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