Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Ried

Ried

Home
W
30
Full time
Rot-Weiß Essen

Rot-Weiß Essen

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Rot-Weiß Essen33%
Ried33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Ried
Win probability
Ried
33%
Draw
33%
Rot-Weiß Essen
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ried
94
Rot-Weiß Essen
9
Defence
Ried
91
Rot-Weiß Essen
6
Momentum
Ried
100
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
Danger (xG)
Ried
2.70
Rot-Weiß Essen
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Ried)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Rot-Weiß Essen)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Ried)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Rot-Weiß Essen)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
RiedRied
WL
Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen
LW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Ried33%
Draw33%
Rot-Weiß Essen33%

Rot-Weiß Essen leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ried head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Rot-Weiß Essen arrive in mixed form (L). Ried have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Rot-Weiß Essen over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Ried's elite attack (94/100) faces a vulnerable Rot-Weiß Essen defence (6/100), while Rot-Weiß Essen's attack is up against a watertight Ried backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Ried's favour.

Ried have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Rot-Weiß Essen have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

Ried have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Rot-Weiß Essen to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Ried 3333%, Draw 3333%, Rot-Weiß Essen 3334%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Ried 1Draws 00 Rot-Weiß Essen
Avg goals: 3.0
17 Jul 2026
Ried
W30
Rot-Weiß Essen

Recent form

Ried

Ried

W
vs Rot-Weiß Essen
17 Jul 2026
30
L
@ SCR Altach
16 May 2026
02
Rot-Weiß Essen

Rot-Weiß Essen

L
@ Ried
17 Jul 2026
03
W
@ SSV Ulm 1846
16 May 2026
32

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ried vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

GoalVio's model predicts Rot-Weiß Essen to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ried vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Ried vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ried vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more