GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ried · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Ried are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jahn Regensburg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ried hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (75.2 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ried holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ried

Probability

66.5%

Model confidence

9.7%

Ried has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiedDLWWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Jahn RegensburgLLWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RiedJahn Regensburg
87.2Attack63.0
66.7Defence59.3
76.9Form51.9
75.2Power58.0
2.55xG1.10
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