Riedvs
Austria Vienna
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 10/17/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ried · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ried 3-2 Austria Vienna
Original prediction
Ried
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 39.2% | 57.0% | 17.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 26.1% | 21.6% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 34.7% | 21.4% | -13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Ried
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Ried has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RiedWDWDW
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Austria ViennaLWDWW
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RiedAustria Vienna
54.2Attack29.2
45.8Defence37.5
45.8Form29.2
50.0Power34.9
2.13xG0.92