Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ried II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ried II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kuchl are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ried II hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Regionalliga - North, while Ried II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ried II
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
9.2%
Ried II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40