Richmond Kickersvs
Portland Hearts of Pine
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL League One · 8/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Hearts of Pine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Richmond Kickers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Portland Hearts of Pine are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and portland Hearts of Pine hold a 8.3-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the USL League One, favouring Portland Hearts of Pine with 12.3% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Hearts of Pine
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
12.3%
Portland Hearts of Pine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00