Richmond Kickersvs
Naples
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 3/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Naples · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Richmond Kickers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Naples are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Naples hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the USL League One, while Naples holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Naples
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
14.4%
Naples has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40