Richmond Kickersvs
Greenville Triumph
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Richmond Kickers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Richmond Kickers 0-1 Greenville Triumph
Original prediction
Richmond Kickers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.6% | 37.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.4% | 27.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.0% | 35.1% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Richmond Kickers
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Richmond Kickers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40