Richmond Kickersvs
Corpus Christi
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corpus Christi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Richmond Kickers 5-1 Corpus Christi
Original prediction
Corpus Christi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.2% | 30.7% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.3% | 24.8% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 36.5% | 44.5% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Corpus Christi
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Corpus Christi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60