Richmond Kickersvs
Chattanooga Red Wolves
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Richmond Kickers 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Original prediction
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.5% | 18.0% | -16.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.8% | 18.7% | -7.1 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 39.8% | 63.2% | 23.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
23.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00