GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/1/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Richmond Kickers are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.9% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte Independence

Probability

72.9%

Model confidence

72.9%

Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Richmond KickersWD

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Charlotte IndependenceWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Richmond KickersCharlotte Independence
31.6Attack75.4
38.6Defence52.6
31.6Form68.4
36.1Power65.9
0.88xG2.78
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