Richmond Kickersvs
Charlotte Independence
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Richmond Kickers 1-2 Charlotte Independence
Original prediction
Charlotte Independence
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 25.7% | 12.0% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.2% | 14.3% | -8.8 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 51.2% | 73.6% | 22.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–310%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
73.6%
Model confidence
73.6%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80